Wednesday 23 August 2017

SGX Market Update :STI SEES LIMITED DOWNSIDE IN NEAR-TERM

US's S&P500 

In light of Chart 1 underneath, albeit 20D exponential moving normal (EMA) is drifting lower, alternate EMAs, specifically 50D, 100D and 200D EMA are as yet inclining up. RSI shut down at 37.2. Since 7 November 2016, the most minimal RSI was around 35.9 on 10 April 2017. In spite of the fact that the directional pointers (DIs) are contrarily put, ADX is still at a low 12.2 which is demonstrative of a trendless market. My own view is S&P500 should discover great backings around 2,404 – 2,419, combined with the moderately low RSI. A maintained break beneath 2,404 (yet far-fetched in the close term) refutes S&P500's (smidgen) bullish graph. 

Close term bolsters: 2,416 – 2,419/2,404/2,393 – 2,395 

Close term resistances: 2,437/2,446 – 2,450/2,457 

Source: Chartnexus chart as of 18 August 2017

Graph 1: S&P500's RSI At second most minimal level since 7 November 2016 

Hong Kong's Hang Seng 

Hang Seng's graph keeps on being on an uptrend with no bearish divergences seen on MACD, OBV and RSI. Despite 20D EMA which is by all accounts exchanging sideways, alternate EMAs are as yet rising. ADX shut 34 on last Friday in the midst of emphatically put DIs. With reference to Chart 2 underneath, Hang Seng keeps on being on an uptrend. A maintained close underneath 26,150 nullifies Hang Seng's (still generally) bullish graph viewpoint. 

Close term underpins: 26,854/26,500 – 26,610/26,255 

Close term resistances: 27,168/27,623/27,870 

Source: Chartnexus chart as of 18 August 2017
Graph 2: Hang Seng Remains On Uptrend 


STI last shut 3,252 

STI appears to be weaker than S&P500 and Hang Seng on a relative premise. In view of Chart 3 beneath, 20D EMA is turning down. The break beneath 3,288 focuses to an inevitable measured specialized focus of around 3,228. Albeit 20D EMA is turning down, it is imperative that 50D, 100D and 200D EMA are as yet ascending with a decent level of partition. RSI shut down at 39.7 on last Friday which was the most reduced seen since 10 November 2016. My own view is that STI should discover great backings around 3,228 – 3,236 and is probably not going to make a supported close beneath 3,228 in the close term. 

Close term bolsters: 3,250/3,236/3,228 – 3,230 

Close term resistances: 3,276/3,290/3,297 

Source: Chartnexus chart as of 18 Aug 2017

Diagram 3: STI's RSI Lowest Since 10 November 2016 


Conclusion 

In view of the above outlines, it is likely that S&P500 and STI may have constrained close term potential drawback, should their backings hold. By and by, I have purchased in some more offers in specific organizations on soft spot for as long as two weeks, given their close term potential impetuses appear to stay in place.


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