Stock market Analysis: SATS Ltd

• Unlikely to see margins recover yet
• May benefit from Qantas’ return
• Maintain HOLD

Higher Traffic Does Not Mean Higher Margins

For the period between Jan and Jul 17, Singapore’s Changi Airport recorded strong traffic statistics as passenger throughput rose 5.5% YoY, and aircraft movements grew 3.1% on the back of encouraging tourism data in Singapore. According to Singapore Tourism Board, visitor arrivals (by air transport) between Jan and Jun 17 registered a healthy 5.2% YoY growth, driven mainly by visitors from Australia, China, India and Indonesia.

SATS Ltd (SATS) is a provider of gateway services (GS) and food solutions (FS) at Changi Airport and we estimate it handles close to 80% of the traffic throughput there. Hence, we believe the traffic growth recorded is positive for SATS.

That said, passenger yields remain weak for the airline industry, which translates to pressure on SATS’ margins as its airline customers will likely engage in cost management efforts, especially for its low cost carrier customers.

Qantas Return to Changi Airport May Potentially Benefit SATS

Australia-listed Qantas Airways Ltd (Qantas) announced recently the extension of its partnership with Emirates for another five years (subject to government and regulatory approval), while making certain changes to the collaboration. Notably, there are two key changes from 25 Mar 18 onwards:

Qantas will re-route its daily Sydney-London A380 service via Singapore rather than Dubai, to replace one of the existing two daily Sydney-Singapore A330 services, and

Qantas will upgrade one existing daily Melbourne-Singapore flight from an A330 to an A380, with the second three per week service increased to a daily A330 service.

In essence, these changes will be positive for traffic growth at Changi Airport, and if SATS does secure FS and GS contracts from Qantas, it may further provide a lift to its earnings.

Re-engage Closer to S$4.70 or Lower

All considered, we prefer to wait for its 2QFY18 results for clarity over its margins and keep our forecasts unchanged. Maintain HOLD on SATS with a S$5.05 FV, but would look to re-engage below S$4.70.

Source -  OCBC Research 

Growing the Fund Management Business of Keppel Corporation

Yesterday, The Business Times reported that KBS and Keppel Capital will be jointly listing US REIT assets. Keppel Corporation has confirmed that efforts are ongoing to carry out an IPO and listing of a U.S. commercial REIT on the main board of the SGX. This will be jointly sponsored by Keppel Capital and KBS Pacific Advisors Pte Ltd.

The initial portfolio of 11 office assets will be injected into the REIT by a fund managed by KBS Capital Advisors LLC. Based on a WSJ report, the REIT listing is expected to raise about US$500m. The move is also in line with Keppel’s aim to grow its fund-management business.

Maintain BUY with S$7.36 fair value estimate on Keppel Corp.

Market View of CWT Limited

HNA Announced Firm Intention to Make VGO for CWT

Having held a general meeting yesterday to seek shareholders' approval for the acquisition of CWT Ltd (CWT), HNA Holding Group (HNA) announced last evening its firm intention to make the voluntary conditional offer (VGO) for CWT now that all of the pre-conditions have been satisfied or waived (as the case may be).

Ending the recent uncertainties over HNA's ability to fund the acquisition, China International Capital Corporation (Singapore) confirms that sufficient financial resources are available to the HNA to satisfy full acceptance of the VGO, and note that HNA currently has no holding of CWT.

In addition, pursuant to the vendor undertakings, the VGO will become unconditional as to acceptances upon the vendors tendering their CWT shares (representing ~65.1% stake in CWT) in acceptance of the offer.

Note that HNA has also stated that it does not intend to and will not increase the offer consideration or revise any other terms of the VGO. As such, the offer consideration is the final Share price for the offer shares.

Full details of HNA’s VGO for CWT will be contained in the offer document to be despatched to shareholders of CWT not earlier than 14 days and not later than 21 days from 7 Sep 17.

Our rating of ACCEPT THE OFFER remains unchanged with this formal VGO announcement.

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Market Outlook steady-MAS

Analysts raise Singapore Q3 GDP view, but 2017 outlook steady-MAS

Financial Advisor have raised their estimates for Singapore's monetary development in the second from last quarter, with assembling movement prone to stay strong after a solid first a large portion of, a national bank review appeared on Wednesday. 

The quarterly review by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), nonetheless, demonstrated no adjustment in the market analysts' middle estimates for entire year development in 2017 and furthermore for 2018, contrasted with three months back. 

Singapore's total national output is relied upon to grow 2.5% in both this year and furthermore one year from now, as per the middle conjecture of 21 financial experts reviewed by the MAS. 

The market analysts' perspectives on 2017 GDP development are in accordance with what the administration now anticipates. 

In August, the Ministry of Trade and Industry said that the entire year 2017 GDP development should come in at around 2.5%, and updated its authority 2017 development gauge to a scope of 2.0 to 3.0% from 1.0 to 3.0% already. 

The MAS overview's middle gauge for year-on-year GDP development in the second from last quarter rose to 3.1%, up from the past middle of 2.8%. 

The assembling segment was required to grow 8.3% in the July-September quarter from a year sooner, the MAS review appeared. 

In the second quarter, Singapore's GDP expanded 2.9% from a year sooner, with assembling growing 8.1%. Second-quarter GDP grew 2.2% from the past three months on an annualized and occasionally balanced premise. 

Share market analysts additionally rolled out no huge improvements to their expansion conjectures. 

Financial experts expect the national bank's center swelling gauge to rise 1.6% for the entire of 2017, the MAS overview appeared, up from 1.5% beforehand. They trimmed their estimate for center swelling in 2018 to 1.6% from 1.7%. 

As per the most recent MAS review, market analysts' middle conjecture for all-things CPI swelling in 2017 was brought down to 0.8% from 0.9%. Their estimate for feature swelling in 2018 was unaltered at 1.4%. 

Financial specialists assessed that the Singapore dollar will exchange at 1.380 U.S. dollar by end-2017. It was exchanging almost 1.3530 on Wednesday. 

Singapore's propel gauge of second from last quarter GDP and the national bank's twice-yearly fiscal approach choice, are both due to be declared in October. 

The predominant desire among investigators has been that the MAS will keep its conversion scale based strategy settings unaltered in October, since there has been a minimal indication of any wide get sought after drove inflationary weights in spite of the enhanced development prospects this year.

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Market Update: Manulife US REIT's 10 Exchange Place acquisition will help diversify its portfolio

RHB says Manulife US REIT's procurement of 10 Exchange Place in New Jersey will additionally enhance its portfolio both topographically and as far as inhabitant blend. 

The objective is a freehold Class A property that is very much situated, with conspicuous facing along the Hudson stream water-front and offers the superb network to New York City. 

The property's ace forma FY16 NPI yield of 5.7% additionally has upside potential from rental development as normal rents are well beneath advertise. 

Look after "purchase" and target cost of US$0.98, with a 13% upside from the hypothetical ex-rights cost of US$0.87," says expert Vijay Natarajan in a Tuesday RHB report. 

The obtaining will be mostly financed by a rights issue with the staying to be subsidized by obligation. 

The rights units are evaluated at US$0.695 each, an alluring 26% rebate to shutting cost, says Natarajan. 

As indicated by RHB, the present normal set up lease of US$38.20 psf is alluring versus 1Q17's normal soliciting rental from US$46.30 psf, offering space for positive lease inversions. 

Furthermore, rental development is probably going to be bolstered by an absence of obvious supply pipeline in the sub-advertise. 

The administration says half of the leases lapsing toward the finish of this current year are probably not going to be restored. Be that as it may, the effect is probably going to be balanced by the potential marking of another inhabitant which is in cutting edge transactions to involve the whole best floor. 

The lion's share of current leases has mid-term/Intermittent lease accelerations, which administration guided to be ~10% expansion, from the 6-tenth year of the rent time frame. 

Post-securing, no single occupant would represent 6.7% of money rental salary with top 10 inhabitants representing around 47.7%, down from 64.1%. 

The convergence of law office will likewise decrease to 27.8% from 36.7%, with two new exchange divisions - transportation & warehousing, proficient & specialized administrations - being added to the portfolio. 

As at 10.26am, units in Manulife US REIT are exchanging at 94 pennies.

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SGX Share StarHub Ltd Daily update

StarHub Ltd (SGX: CC3) is one of three Singapore media transmission organizations that additionally incorporate Singapore Telecommunications Limited (SGX: ZY4) and M1 Ltd (SGX: B2F). StarHub has five business portions, specifically, Mobile, Pay TV, Broadband, Enterprise Fixed and Equipment deals. 

The organization has as of late detailed its second-quarter FY17 result. In this article, we will take a gander at the great and terrible from the declaration. 

Generally speaking, we can see that aggregate income is imperceptibly lower by 1% year-on-year. 

Net benefit fell significantly more – by 21% year-on-year – primarily because of lower administrations income, nonattendance of NBN stipends, higher fund cost and nonappearance of one-time reasonable esteem pick up. 

Of the five fragments, just Enterprise Fixed Services and Equipment Sales recorded positive income on a year-on-year premise. 

Negatives: 

There were a couple of negative focuses in the quarter that financial Advisor might need to focus on. 

Right off the bat, the normal income per client (ARPU) declined for portable, pay-television and broadband administrations. 

Besides, cost of offers developed by 4.5%, notwithstanding level income, for the most part, because of increment in cost of gear and cost of administrations. This was counterbalanced by bringing down "other" working costs. 

Thirdly, EBITDA edge was around 1.5% from 34.7% a year ago to 33.2% this year for the most part because of income declining quicker than working expense. 

In conclusion, Starhub's free income was altogether lower at $16 million, when contrasted with $137 million in a similar period a year ago. 

Positives: 

Notwithstanding the generally negative tone of the quarter's report, Starhub conveyed a few positives news. 

Right off the bat, its general client numbers were up for both paid ahead of time and postpaid administrations, in spite of a decrease in normal income per client (ARPU). Accordingly, its portable piece of the overall industry was up from 26.9% a year prior to 27.0%. 

Furthermore, the Enterprise Fixed fragment developed its income fundamentally because of expanded income from information and web administrations, which was somewhat balanced by bringing down voice income.

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Review: Singapore Stocks Market Opened at 0.4% up

SINGAPORE stocks opened 0.4 for each penny higher on Wednesday, with the Straits Times Index climbing 14.1 focuses to 3,263.44 as at 9.01am. This came as Wall Street put aside butterflies over North Korea's rocket dispatch and rose to a positive complete overnight, turning around misfortunes from prior in the day. 

On the Singapore bourse, around 84.6 million offers worth S$113.1 million altogether changed hands, which worked out to a normal unit cost of S$1.34 per share. 

The most effectively exchanged counter was Blumont, which was level at S$0.001 with 23.4 million offers evolving hands. Different actives included Global Logistic Properties and Swee Hong. 

Gainers dwarfed washouts 79 to 50. 

Somewhere else, Japan's Topix rose 0.6 for every penny, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index increased 0.3 for every penny, while the Kospi edged up, Bloomberg announced.

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